MONEY TIMES TALK
*01.08.2026*
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Although Money Times recommendation have outperformed other media, stock brokers and research houses, the brief recommendations under Money Times Talk (MTT) cannot display 'BUY', 'SELL' or 'HOLD' recommendations. Readers should, therefore, exercise their own judgement and evaluate the future prospects of the stock given its past performance, industry prospects in the backdrop of a growing economy and in
As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 3d, 6th, 10th, 12th, 14th August 2026. Investors and traders. should remain cautious as market volatility could remain elevated around these dates.
Friday night closing: Brent Crude at $90.24, Dow +278 pts, Nasdaq +252 pts, S&P 500+52 pts, while Gift Nifty fell 49 points to 24,381, signalling a mildly negative opening for Indian markets on Monday, subject to weekend. developments. RBI policy announcement is scheduled for 5 August 2026 (Wednesday).
Christopher Wood, Global Head of Equity Strategy at Jefferies, believes the worst of Fll selling in India may be over.
A deeper correction in the Al trade and semiconductor sector could trigger renewed foreign inflows into Indian equities. While he remains positive on midcaps over the long term, he expects near-term catch-up in large-cap blue chips. He also recommends accumulating gold, citing long-term US dollar debasement, and believes India's strong investment opportunities have increased pressure on private equity exits.
As per market grapevine, stocks to watch include Anant Raj, Bal Pharma, Black Rose, BMW Industries, GIPCL, HFCL, HSCL, Him Teknoforge, IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (IOLCP), Morepen Laboratories, Pennar Industries, Plastiblends India, Rajesh Power (SME), Talbros Engineering, TGV SRAAC and VA Tech Wabag. Keep them on the radar.
Dangerous & too much risky: Margin Trading Facility (MTF) exposure has surged to a record Rs.1.39 lakh crore as of July 2026. While leverage has boosted retail participation, it has also significantly increased downside risk. A sharp market correction could trigger margin calls, forced selling and amplified losses, especially in small and mid-cap stocks. Market experts advise avoiding excessive leverage, MTF and speculative trading in the current volatile environment.
Astro alert: Saturn remains retrograde from 27 July to 11 December 2026. As per the astrological view, this period may witness heightened volatility with unexpected sharp rises and declines. Traders are advised to reduce F&O exposure, avoid overtrading, leverage and margin-funded investments until December.
On 31 July 2026, bullish breakouts with strong volumes were seen in Astra Microwave, Bajaj Finance, Morepen Laboratories, Nazara Technologies and Rajesh Power (SME). Keep these stocks on the watchlist.
As per a market veteran, FOMO is one of the fastest ways to lose money. Chasing trending stocks without understanding the business often leads to poor decisions and losses. Focus on companies you understand, ignore the fear of missing out and invest with clarity rather than emotion.
Biggest lesson from the Korean market crash: South Korea's market plunged 45% in just 40 days, wiping out nearly $2 trillion in market value as excessive leverage triggered widespread margin calls. The government had to restrict leveraged ETF trading and even introduce suicide prevention helplines. The episode highlights the dangers of leverage, FOMO and speculative trading. Long-term wealth is created by disciplined investing-not by trying to maximise returns in every market move.
As per market grapevine, BMW Industries, IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (IOLCP), Plastiblends India, Talbros Engineering and TGV SRAAC may deliver good returns over the next 3-4 months. Keep them on the watchlist.
Buy in panic & sell in FOMO: Buying in FOMO and selling in panic often results in capital and emotional losses. Successful investors do the opposite-buy during panic, sell into optimism and stick to a disciplined investment plan. Avoid impulsive decisions, focus on earnings growth and always invest or trade only after proper research and risk assessment
Quality stocks down from highs: IRFC (-61%), Adani Green (-55%), TMPV (-53%), Wipro (-48.75%), REC (-43%). Trent (-46%), DMart (-34%), Hindustan Zinc (-33.82%), HCL Tech (-33%), ONGC (-29.86%), Tata Power (-24.30%), Asian Paints (-23.50%), Coal India (-23%), Power Grid (-22%) and Shree Cement (-18.72%). Always do your own research before investing. Time in the market is more important than timing the market, while discipline and regular technical & fundamental reviews every 3 months are essential. Investing in a good company alone is not enough-timely entry, exit and continuous monitoring are equally important.
As per a market veteran, many investors hesitate to exit loss-making stocks because booking losses is painful.. However, shifting capital to businesses with stronger earnings visibility can create better long-term wealth. Quick profits may feel exciting, but steady compounding wins over time. Focus less on making money and more on protecting capital, as disciplined investing ultimately delivers superior long-term returns.
As per market grapevine, weak market sentiment requires policy support and stability. Persistent FII selling is also influenced by rupee depreciation. A reduction in STT, STCG and LTCG taxes could improve the attractiveness of Indian equities for foreign investors.
Big Alert: IPOs worth nearly Rs.35,000 cr. are expected in August. Large primary market fund mobilization could temporarily reduce liquidity in the secondary market and keep broader market participation subdued.
F&O Alert: On the 28 July monthly expiry, several options witnessed extraordinary moves, including HUL 2100 PE (0.55 to 85.50), Radico 4200 CE (0.05 to 120), DMart 4000 PE (4.05 to 252.60) and many others. Such extreme volatility highlights the high risk in F&O, options and MTF-based trading, which can rapidly erode retail capital.
Investment Lesson: Information is no longer the edge everyone has access to the same reports, con-calls and charts. The real advantage lies in discipline, patience and emotional control. Long-term wealth is created through sound capital allocation, consistent investing and letting compounding work, not by excessive trading.
Astro Junction: Rahu entered Dhanista Nakshatra on 2 August 2026 and will remain there until 5th December 2026. This period may witness sharp and unexpected market swings. Avoid overtrading, leverage, margin funding (MTF) and excessive F&O exposure.
Nithin Kamath has cautioned that the rapidly growing Margin Trading Facility (MTF) is one of the biggest risks for brokers. With nearly Rs.9,000 crore of MTF exposure, particularly in non-F&O stocks, a sharp market correction could trigger margin calls, forced selling and intensified declines in small and mid-cap stocks. Investors should remain cautious while using leverage.
The South Korean Kospi Index, despite correcting 45% from its peak, is still 130% above its April 2025 lows, highlighting how excessive leverage and MTF can amplify both market rallies and sharp corrections.
Many investors spend years searching for the "best" mutual fund while overlooking the importance of discipline, consistency and staying invested. Long-term wealth creation is driven by clear financial goals, regular portfolio reviews, disciplined investing and the right guidance rather than chasing short-term performance.
Mukul Agarwal follows the philosophy that "Price is God" and combines momentum-driven trading with long-term investing. His portfolio has grown from Rs.432 crore in 2018 to Rs.7,727 crore in 2026, while currently holding 74 stocks, demonstrating the power of disciplined execution, active portfolio rebalancing and long-term wealth creation.
Market corrections often create the best opportunities for long-term investors by bringing quality stocks to attractive valuations. India's structural growth story remains intact, supported by healthy GDP growth, resilient domestic consumption, PLI-driven manufacturing, rising infrastructure spending and improving corporate balance sheets.
